近50年来葫芦河流域气候变化特征分析
nalysis on Characteristics of Climate Changes in Hulu River Basin since Resent 50 Years
根据静宁、秦安两站的水文气象资料,对葫芦河流域近50a来气候变化特征进行分析。采用Mann-Kendall法分析,结果显示近50a来气温总体呈上升趋势,降水量呈下降走向;利用Meyer小波及Morlet小波,分别分析并相互检验校正葫芦河流域年均气温及年降水量的主要变化周期,其中年平均气温普遍存在30a以上、22a、12~14a和10a左右的中长周期以及4~7a和2-3a的短周期;而年降水量存在30a以上、20a、12~14a和10a左右的中长周期以及6~8a和2~4a的短周期。表明,过去50a以来葫芦河流域河川径流的变化主要受当地降水波动的影响。
Based on the data of air temperature and precipitation from the meteorological stations in Jingning and Qin’an, Mann-Kendall method is applied to the tendency characteristics of climate changes about resent 50 years in Hulu River Basin, which told us, the general variance tendency of annual mean air temperature is increasing, on the other hand the annual total precipitation is declining; the results of Meyer and Morlet wavelet analys show that there are multi-scaled period changes for annual air temperature and precipitation, which are mid-long periods of 30a, 22a, 12-14a,10a, and 4-7a, 2-3a of short periods for air temperature, and 30a, 20a, 12-14a and 10a which are the mid-long period of annual precipitation ,such as 6-8 and 2-4 of short periods.
丁贞玉、贾冰、聂中青、马金珠
大气科学(气象学)
气候变化Mann-Kendall法小波分析葫芦河流域
climate changeMann-Kendall methodwavelet analysisHulu River Basin
丁贞玉,贾冰,聂中青,马金珠.近50年来葫芦河流域气候变化特征分析[EB/OL].(2008-10-28)[2025-07-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200810-690.点此复制
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