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中国致命性滑坡的趋势

rend of fatal landslides in China

中文摘要英文摘要

中国每年有大量的斜坡运动发生。尤其,致命性滑坡最具灾难性,造成了大量的人员伤亡和经济损失。从中国地质环境信息网和国土资源部网站收集2004-2016年期间的致命性滑坡信息,随后对其趋势变化和损失分布进行了统计分析。总计有537起致命性滑坡发生,造成4718人死亡。相当于每年有42起致命性事件和363人死亡。同时,随着灾害信息记录的完善,致命性滑坡造成的死亡人数愈发接近所有地质灾害造成的总人数。而相比于地质灾害造成的经济损失,致命性滑坡仅占很小的比例,但是其总额仍然巨大,达67.5亿元。在空间分布上,致命性滑坡在西南和中南地区密集分布,尤其在四川、云南、湖南等地。时间分布上表现出了与主汛期很强的关联性,也就是从6月到9月致命性滑坡数量最多。在触发因素已经清楚识别的致命性滑坡中,81.8%的与降雨有关。至此,全面认识了致命性滑坡的趋势并为中国地质灾害的防灾减灾工程提供了基准信息。

here have a large number of slope movements occurred in China annually. Especially, fatal landslides are the most hazardous, causing serious fatalities and significant economic loss. In this study, the data of fatal landslides were collected from China geological environment information site and Ministry of Land and Resources of China in the period 2004-2016. Then a statistical analysis of the data was carried out to explore the trend of fatal landslide and the distribution of its losses in economic and fatality. In the studied period, a total of 4,718 deaths are collected resulting from 537 fatal landslides. It represents a frequency of 42 events and an average of 363 deaths every year. Meanwhile, fatal landslides fatalities are getting closer to total deaths of all geological hazards with the disaster records improvement. Although the economic loss of fatal landslides accounts for a small proportion of all hazards loss, however, the total amount is still enormous, 6.75 billion yuan recorded. The spatial distribution of fatal landslides shows intensive clusters in Southwest and Southern China, particularly densely distributing in Sichuan, Yunnan, and Hunan. Then the temporal distribution reveals a strong correlation with the main raining season, with the largest quantity of events occurring between June and September. Among the fatal landslides of which triggering factors have been recognized, 81.8% are associated with rainfall. This research gives a comprehensive recognition of fatal landslides trend and provides baseline information for disaster prevention and mitigation.

张帆宇、黄晓维

灾害、灾害防治

致命性滑坡趋势经济损失死亡人数时空分布触发因素降雨中国

Fatal landslidesTrendEconomic lossFatalitiesSpatio-temporal distributionTriggering factorsRainfallChina

张帆宇,黄晓维.中国致命性滑坡的趋势[EB/OL].(2017-09-20)[2025-06-08].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201709-93.点此复制

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