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中国人口老龄化对国内旅游发展的影响研究

Impact of Population Aging on the Domestic Tourism in China

中文摘要英文摘要

文章选取2000-2014年省级动态面板数据构建差分广义矩(Diff-GMM)、系统广义矩动(Sys-GMM)和工具变量(2SLS)实证的估计方法,深入探究全国及不同地区人口老龄化对国内旅游消费的影响。实证研究结果显示:(1)中国人口老龄化对国内旅游消费市场有显著的正向影响;(2)人均受教育水平和城镇化率的提高显著地促进了国内旅游业的发展;(3)人口老龄化水平对不同地区的国内旅游总消费的影响方向和显著性都不同。基于上述研究结论,文章提出研发多层次符合老年人需求的旅游产品,发展老年旅游业,加快国内旅游产业结构升级等切实可行的建议。

onstructing the GMM (difference GMM & system GMM) model and 2SLS instrumental variables estimation method by using a panel data of 2000-2014, the paper studies the impact of population aging on the domestic tourism in the whole China and different regions of the country. The empirical results indicate that: Firstly, the population aging has a significant positive impact on domestic tourism development in China. Secondly, the increasing of the per capita levels of education and urbanization rate is significantly promoting the development of domestic tourism. Finally, the impact of population aging on domestic tourism consumption is different in different regions from a regional perspective. Based on the above empirical findings, to promote the rapid development of China's domestic tourism industry in the context of population aging, the paper gives some effective advice such as develop multi-level tourism products to meet the needs of the elderly, accelerate the upgrading of industrial structure to promote the development of senior tourism and so on..

Li Hongyi、杨娟

旅游经济

旅游经济人口老龄化国内旅游生命周期理论

ourism EconomicsPopulation AgingDomestic TourismThe Life Cycle Theory

Li Hongyi,杨娟.中国人口老龄化对国内旅游发展的影响研究[EB/OL].(2016-05-12)[2025-07-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201605-256.点此复制

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