基于碳颗粒污染分析的PM2.5成因分析及其模型建立
PM2.5 causes analysis and mathematical model established
中国中东部地区近几年雾霾问题严重,从物理过程角度分析中国PM2.5的产生机理,建立PM2.5微颗粒形成物理过程的数学模型,对全面认识中国东部地区的成霾现象具有重要意义。本文通过PM2.5物理形成过程成因分析,提出了TC-PM2.5因果关系的PM2.5成因数学模型。PM2.5含量与各影响因素的散点图,确定了Tc与PM2.5质量浓度之间的强关联关系,进一步通过与多元线性回归模型拟合结果对比,发现 PM2.5成因数学模型效果更好。通过数据平移分析证明了在PM2.5物理形成过程成因分析中提出的TC-PM2.5之间的因果关系。且在PM2.5物理形成过程中,TC的影响作用是放大的,放大倍数在5倍左右,碳颗粒在PM2.5形成中起到真正的"源"作用。通过PM2.5电镜图片的微观分析表明,本文建立的数学模型所体现的物理意义,同相关物质的微观结构具有高度一致性?????
In recent years, haze problem is serious in central and eastern regions of China. It is very important to comprehensively understand the haze phenomenon in the central and eastern part of China by analyzing the mechanism of PM2.5 from the perspective of physical process and establishing the mathematical model of PM2.5 microparticle forming physical process. In this paper, the mathematical model of TC-PM2.5 causal relationship is proposed by the cause of PM2.5 physical formation process. The strong correlation between Tc and PM2.5 concentration has been confirmed by PM2.5 content and the impact of the factors of the scatter plot. By comparing with the results of multiple linear regression models, it is found that the mathematical model of PM2.5 is better. The causal relationship between TC-PM2.5 proposed in the analysis of PM2.5 physical formation process is proved by data translation analysis. In the PM2.5 physical formation process, the effect of TC is amplified, the magnification of about 5 times, and carbon particles play a true "source" role in PM2.5 formation. The microscopic analysis of PM2.5 electron microscopy shows that the physical meaning of the mathematical model is highly consistent with the microstructure of the related matter.
刘清珺、陈婷、王晓旭、邓平晔、舒木水、淡默、邵鹏
环境污染、环境污染防治环境科学技术现状环境科学理论
大气污染防治工程,PM2.5,TC,成因数学模型,多元线性回归,微观结构
atmospheric pollution control engineering, PM2.5,TC,cause analysis mathematical model,multiple linear regression models,micro structure.
刘清珺,陈婷,王晓旭,邓平晔,舒木水,淡默,邵鹏.基于碳颗粒污染分析的PM2.5成因分析及其模型建立[EB/OL].(2017-07-19)[2025-08-03].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201707-77.点此复制
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