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城市化进程对南京气温变化的影响

he impact of urbanization on air temperature in Nanjing

中文摘要英文摘要

根据1960-2010年南京和城郊台站逐日气温资料和城市发展数据,采用常规统计、主成分分析、回归建模等方法,分析了南京城郊气温变化趋势以及气温变化与城市发展指标的关系,探讨了城市化进程对南京气温变化的影响。结果表明:近50年来南京平均气温、最高及最低气温显著上升且具有一致性,城区增温率明显大于郊区,气温日较差小于郊区;城区显著增温发生在1990年后的城市快速发展时期。分析认为,影响南京地区气温变化的城市发展因子主要是城市人口数量、土地利用类型、能源消耗和城市发展规划合理水平,其共同解释率可达83%。

Using the temperature data of Nanjing and Gaochun stations and urbanization development information of Nanjing from 1960 to 2010, combined with statistical analysis, principal component analysis, regression model to analyze the varsiations of air temperature, and researched the impact of urbanization development on Nanjing air temperature. The results show that the annual mean temperature, minimum temperature and maximum temperature at the area near Nanjing is rising remarkably and conformably in the 50 years, warming rate in urban is greater than in the suburb, but reduction rate of temperature daily range in urban is greater than in suburb; The sharp rise happened in the late 1990s, when rapid urbanization emerged in Nanjing. The dominant factors that influenced temperature change during urbanization included population, land using type, energy consumption and reasonable level of urban development planning, its common interpretation of the rate of up to 83%.

裴兴云、孙卫国、江俊杰

大气科学(气象学)环境科学技术现状社会与环境

气候变化城市化主成分分析回归模型

limate changeUrbanizationPrincipal component analysisRegression model

裴兴云,孙卫国,江俊杰.城市化进程对南京气温变化的影响[EB/OL].(2013-03-07)[2025-08-04].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201303-248.点此复制

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