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首页|珠三角地区城乡老年人养老服务需求倾向及养老意愿的差异性分析

珠三角地区城乡老年人养老服务需求倾向及养老意愿的差异性分析

nalysis of the Differences in the Demand Tendency and Willingness of Elderly Care Services between Urban and Rural Elderly People in the Pearl River Delta Region

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 了解珠三角地区城乡常住老年人养老服务需求倾向的差异,为推动城乡养老服务的均衡发展提供参考。方法 采用多阶段分层随机抽样方法,在珠三角地区选取2个地级市的7间社区卫生服务中心,对到中心就诊的1919名60岁及以上常住老年人进行问卷调查。结果 共调查珠三角地区城市老年人641人(33.4%),农村老年人1278人(66.6%);城市独生子女老年人的比例显著高于农村老年人(22.2% vs 8.7%;p<0.001);城市老年人表示在有需要的时候会购买社会化养老服务项目的比例显著高于农村老年人(30.0% vs 15.3%;p<0.001);农村老年人同意养儿防老观念的比例高于城市老年人(76.1% vs 58.2%;p<0.001);分别有37.3%和19.9%的城市和农村老年人表示突发公共卫生事件对其养老规划有影响;农村老年人倾向于家庭养老的比例高于城市老年人(71.8% vs 57.1%;p<0.001);城市老年人明确表示愿意选择机构养老的比例显著高于农村老年人(62.6% vs 44.0%;p<0.001)。以家庭养老为参照,城市老年人中家庭月收入与支出“有余”[OR(95% CI ):0.038(0.006-0.246)]和“基本持平”[OR(95% CI ): 0.072(0.012-0.431)]、同意养儿防老观念[OR(95% CI ): 0.318(0.110-0.923)]的选择机构养老的意愿更低,城市男性[OR(95% CI ): 1.544(1.058-2.254)]、会购买社会化养老服务项目[OR(95% CI ): 2.208(1.213-4.020)]和认为突发公共卫生事件对其养老规划有影响[OR(95% CI ): 1.806(1.183-2.757)]的老年人更倾向于社区居家养老;本地户籍的农村老年人更倾向于机构养老[OR(95% CI ): 4.237(1.031-17.405)]和社区居家养老[OR(95% CI ): 1.463(1.057-2.024)],非独生子女[OR(95% CI ): 0.156(0.050-0.482)]、同意养儿防老观念[OR(95% CI ): 0.318(0.110-0.923)]的农村老年人选择社区居家养老的意愿更低,认为突发公共卫生事件对养老规划有影响[OR(95% CI ): 3.260(1.002-10.600)]的农村老年人更倾向于机构养老。结论 城乡老年人对养儿防老观念的态度有显著的差异,城市老年人相较于农村老年人更易于接受社会化养老服务项目,且突发公共卫生事件对城乡老年人养老规划的影响基本一致,建议除强化家庭养老的功能外,应针对城乡差异合理配置城乡养老资源。

BSTRACT: Objective To understand the differences in the demand for elderly care services between urban and rural residents in the Pearl River Delta (PRD), and to provide reference for promoting the balanced development of elderly care services in urban and rural areas. Methods Using multi-stage stratified random sampling method, we selected 7 community health service centers in 2 prefecture-level city in the PRD, and conducted a questionnaire survey on 1919 permanent residents aged 60 years and above who visited the centers. Results A total of 641 urban elderly people (33.4%) and 1278 rural elderly people (66.6%) were surveyed in the PRD. The proportion of elderly people with only children in urban areas is significantly higher than that in rural areas (22.2% vs 8.7%; p<0.001). The proportion of urban elderly people who purchase socialized elderly care services when needed is significantly higher than that of rural elderly people (30.0% vs 15.3%; p<0.001). The proportion of rural elderly people agreeing to the concept of raising children and preventing aging is higher than that of urban elderly people (76.1% vs 58.2%; p<0.001); 37.3% and 19.9% of urban and rural elderly people respectively stated that sudden public health incidents have an impact on their elderly care planning. The proportion of elderly people in rural areas who prefer family based elderly care is higher than that in urban areas (71.8% vs 57.1%; p<0.001). The proportion of urban elderly people clearly expressing their willingness to choose institutions for elderly care is significantly higher than that of rural elderly people (62.6% vs 44.0%; p<0.001). Taking family elderly care as a reference, among urban elderly people, the willingness to choose institutional elderly care is lower for those with "surplus" monthly household income and expenditure [OR (95% CI): 0.038 (0.006-0.246)] and "basically equal" [OR (95% CI): 0.072 (0.012-0.431)], and those who agree to the concept of raising children and preventing aging [OR (95% CI): 0.318 (0.110-0.923)]. Urban males [OR (95% CI): 1.544 (1.058-22.54)] and the elderly who purchase socialized elderly care services [OR (95% CI): 2.208 (1.213-4.020)] and those who believe that sudden public health events have an impact on their elderly care planning [OR (95% CI): 1.806 (1.183-2.757)] tend to prefer community based home-based elderly care. The rural elderly with local registered residence registration are more inclined to institutional pension [OR (95% CI): 4.237 (1.031-17.405)] and community home-based pension [OR (95% CI): 1.463 (1.057-2.024)], while those who have more than one child [OR (95% CI): 0.156 (0.050-0.482)], and the rural elderly who agree with the concept of raising children to prevent old age [OR (95% CI): 0.318 (0.110-0.923)] are less willing to choose community home-based pension, Rural elderly people who believe that sudden public health events have an impact on elderly care planning [OR (95% CI): 3.260 (1.002-10.600)] tend to prefer institutional elderly care. Conclusions There is a significant difference in the attitudes of elderly people in urban and rural areas towards the concept of raising children and preventing aging. Urban elderly people are more likely to accept socialized elderly care services compared to rural elderly people, and the impact of sudden public health events on elderly care planning is similar between urban and rural areas. It is suggested that in addition to strengthening the function of family elderly care, urban and rural elderly care resources should be reasonably allocated based on the differences between urban and rural areas.

梁家斌、杨华杰、贾至慧、王皓翔、黄翔、卫庆国

10.12074/202307.00210V1

医药卫生理论

城乡养老服务需求养老意愿

urban and rural areaelderly care servicesdemandendowment intention

梁家斌,杨华杰,贾至慧,王皓翔,黄翔,卫庆国.珠三角地区城乡老年人养老服务需求倾向及养老意愿的差异性分析[EB/OL].(2023-07-01)[2025-08-11].https://chinaxiv.org/abs/202307.00210.点此复制

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