广东省财政政策对各产业人力要素的影响研究
Manpower Elements of Industrial Structure in Guangdong
改革开放以来,广东省经济快速发展,省内产业结构也得到了一定的提升。理论和经验证明,财政政策在优化和调整产业结构中发挥着重要作用。在进一步的供给侧改革和产业结构调整中需要进一步更加深入的理论分析提供政策支持,为产业政策提供强有力的支持。本文主要基于经济理论,将财政政策对产业结构有重大影响的要素划分为(1)科教文支出; (2)政府投资性支出;(3)流转税;(4)企业所得税;(5)个人所得税;共5项指标,通过设计产业结构合理化这一指标衡量人力资本在各产业的合理配置程度,用VAR模型的脉冲响应函数和方差分解分析了这几项指标对产业结构合理化的影响。在VAR模型的脉冲相应函数可以看出,企业所得税及科教文支出对人力资本在各产业的流动影响巨大,根据格兰杰因果检验,政府投资对人力资本的合理配置无因果关系,而包括增值税及营业税在内的流转税和个人所得税,对人力资本在各产业的合理配置影响较小。
Since the reform and opening up, the economy of Guangdong Province has developed rapidly and the industrial structure of the province has also been improved. Theory and experience have proven that fiscal policy plays an important role in optimizing and adjusting the industrial structure. In further supply-side reforms and industrial restructuring, further in-depth theoretical analysis is needed to provide policy support and provide strong support for industrial policies. This paper is mainly based on economic theory, and divides the factors that have significant influence on fiscal structure in the industrial structure. (1) Science and education expenditures; (2) Government investment expenditures; (3) turnover tax; (4) corporate income tax; (5) individuals Income tax; a total of five indicators, through the design of industrial structure rationalization of this index to measure the rational allocation of human capital in various industries, using the VAR model impulse response function and variance decomposition to analyze the impact of these indicators on the rationalization of industrial structure. It can be seen from the pulse corresponding function of the VAR model that corporate income tax and science and education expenditure have a great impact on the flow of human capital in various industries. According to the Granger causality test, government investment has no causal relationship to the rational allocation of human capital, including value added. The turnover tax and personal income tax, including taxes and business taxes, have little impact on the rational allocation of human capital in various industries.
雷钦礼、刘坤松
财政、金融工业经济经济学
财政政策财政支出税收收入产业结构合理化
Fiscal Policy Fiscal Expenditure Tax Economic Structure
雷钦礼,刘坤松.广东省财政政策对各产业人力要素的影响研究[EB/OL].(2019-05-21)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201905-216.点此复制
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