我国房地产上市公司经营现金流风险分析
OPERATIONAL CASH FLOW AT RISK FOR CHINA’S REAL ESTATE LISTED COMPANIES
在险现金流对企业经营与风险管理具有重要意义。为了评价企业现金流风险管理状态，本文运用水晶球(Crystal Ball, CB)方法，拟合我国房地产上市公司经营现金流分布状态并得到主要分位数。结果表明，近几年我国房地产上市公司经营风险现金流得到有效控制，未有扩大趋势，房地产市场正朝宏观调控的预期目标有序发展。
ash flow at risk (CFaR) is crucial to firms’ operation and determines the effect of risk management. By using Crystal Ball (CB), the paper models the operational cash flow at risk in order to assess the financial control status for China’s listed real estate companies, which involves the opportunities, strengths and weaknesses of the referred companies. The empirical results show that the real estate company\\\
杜春越、韩立岩、刘金霞
财政、金融
在险现金流，房地产上市公司，风险控制，分布拟合
ash Flow at Risk (CFaR)Real Estate CompaniesFinancial ControlDistribution-Fitting
杜春越,韩立岩,刘金霞.我国房地产上市公司经营现金流风险分析[EB/OL].(2008-07-31)[2025-08-23].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200807-602.点此复制
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