政府干预对2013春季H7N9型禽流感疫情的影响
he effect of government intervention on H7N9 avian influenza in the Spring of 2013
21世纪以来，禽流感病毒以其种类的繁多与基因的不稳定严重威胁了全球人民的健康与生命。本文以2013年春季中国大陆爆发的H7N9型禽流感疫情真实数据为例，在建立数学模型的基础上，通过最小二乘法、欧拉迭代法等定量分析与模拟，考察政府干预对该疫情的影响，得到的数值结果反映了政府干预的必要性。
vian influenza has threatened global human health because of its various types and unstable genes since the 21st century. According to the actual data of H7N9 avian influenza in the Spring of 2013 in Mainland China, a mathematic model is established, qualitative analysis and numerical simulations are given to consider the effect of government intervention on the outbreak of the avian influenza by the Least Square Method and the Euler's Method.Our results emphasizes the importance of the government intervention.
张磊、李天擎、刘燕红、林支桂
预防医学医学研究方法数学
H7N9禽流感疫情预防政府干预数值模拟
H7N9 avian influenzaepidemic preventiongovernment interventionnumerical simulation
张磊,李天擎,刘燕红,林支桂.政府干预对2013春季H7N9型禽流感疫情的影响[EB/OL].(2015-01-12)[2025-06-03].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201501-168.点此复制
评论