RIMA模型在宁波市全社会固定资产投资总额预测中的应用
he Application of ARIMA Model in Investing
投资是拉动经济增长最主要的力量之一，而固定资产投资是社会扩大再生产的有效途径，合理地引导固定资产的投资会带动经济的增长。准确地预测投资规模，为政府政策的制定也能够起到一定的借鉴作用。本文采用了求和自回归移动平均模型（ARIMA），对宁波市的固定资产投资总额资料进行了分析。结果显示ARIMA(4,2,8)提供了较为准确的预测结果，可用于未来的预测，为宁波市全社会固定资产投资的预测提供了一种方便实用的方法。
Investment is one of main driving for economic growth. And fixed assets investment is an effective way to expand production. Guiding it reasonably will promote the growth of economic. To predict the scale of investment accurately can play an important role in drawing government policy. This paper analyses the date of fixed assets investment of Ningbo with ARIMA model. The analysis shows that ARIMA (4, 2, 8) provides comparatively precise estimation results. The model can be used to provide reliable basis for investing in fixed assets of Ningbo.
刘英
经济计划、经济管理工业经济
RIMA模型固定资产投资总额时间序列投资预测
RIMAthe volume of investment in fixed assetstime serialsinvesting forecast
刘英.RIMA模型在宁波市全社会固定资产投资总额预测中的应用[EB/OL].(2009-08-06)[2025-06-03].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200908-91.点此复制
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