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黄河上游生态脆弱区复合生态系统韧性时空分异 ——以宁夏为例

中文摘要英文摘要

提升生态脆弱区抗扰动和恢复能力是生态文明建设的重要内容。构建基于经济、社会、自然多维视角的 复合生态系统韧性评估模型,利用熵值法和GIS空间分析法,对2010—2020年宁夏复合生态系统韧性进行时空差 异性分析,借助耦合协调模型、相关性分析和障碍度模型诊断影响生态韧性提升的关键因素。结果表明:(1)宁夏 复合生态系统韧性水平呈上升态势,但整体水平较低,经济韧性增速最快。高经济韧性北部密集分布,高社会韧性 以市区为中心成片分布,高自然韧性主要连片分布在东、南、西、北四角,北部复合生态系统韧性高于中部和南部。 (2)宁夏复合生态系统的耦合度较高、但协调度偏低,研究时段内耦合协调度提升缓慢,大部分区县仍处于严重失 调和中等失调状态。(3)经济结构与经济潜力、基础设施、民生改善、自然环境表现出很强的正相关性。准则层中人 口数量、环境压力、经济活力对复合生态系统韧性提升产生较大影响,指标层中综合能源消耗量和交通仓储邮政人 员数对大部分区县韧性提升有较大影响。今后需积极发挥各影响因素的正向协同效应,快速提升宁夏复合生态系 统韧性,以有效助力黄河流域生态保护和高质量先行区建设。

Improving the disturbance resistance and restoration of ecologically fragile areas is an important part of ecological civilization construction. The key factors affecting ecological resilience were diagnosed with the help of coupling coordination model, correlation analysis, and obstacle model. Based on the economic, social, and natural multidimensional perspective of composite ecosystem resilience assessment model, using entropy method and GIS spatial analysis, in 2009-2019 Ningxia composite ecosystem resilience difference analysis was done. The results show that: (1) The resilience of Ningxia’s composite ecosystem is on the rise, but the overall level is low, and economic resilience grows the fastest. High economic resilience is densely distributed in the north, and high social resilience is centered in the city. High natural resilience is mainly distributed in the east, south, west, and north corners, and the northern composite ecosystem is more resilient than that in the central and southern regions. (2) The coupling degree of the composite ecosystem in Ningxia is relatively high, but the coordination degree is relatively low. The coupling and coordination degree improves slowly during the research period, and most districts and counties are still in a state of serious and moderate imbalance. (3) The economic structure shows a strong positive correlation with the economic potential, infrastructure, the improvement of people’s livelihood, and the natural environment. Population, environmental stress, and economic vitality in the criterion layer have a significant impact on the composite ecosystem’s resilience, while the index layer’s total energy consumption and the number of workers in the transportation, storage, and postal sectors have a significant impact on the resilience of the majority of districts and counties. In the future, it is necessary to actively play the positive synergistic effect of various influencing factors to rapidly improve the resilience of the composite ecosystem in Ningxia, to effectively help the ecological protection and the construction of a highquality pilot zone in the Yellow River.

马彩虹、侯景伟、王彦卷、杨航、杨 晨

10.12074/202303.00126V1

环境科学理论环境科学技术现状环境管理

复合生态系统韧性耦合协调度相关性分析障碍度模型生态脆弱区黄河上游

马彩虹,侯景伟,王彦卷,杨航,杨 晨.黄河上游生态脆弱区复合生态系统韧性时空分异 ——以宁夏为例[EB/OL].(2023-03-13)[2025-08-11].https://chinaxiv.org/abs/202303.00126.点此复制

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