中国粮食生产的计量经济学预测模型研究

his paper bases on the data of Chinese grain production and its impact factors from 1978 to 2007, using the Cobb-Douglas production function to establish the Chinese grain production forecasting model, and doing some Econometric analysis. As a result, some conclusion can be draw here，the actual sown acreage and the fertilizer dosage are the main factors which affect Chinese grain yield. At last, the authors put forward some specific policy advices.