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基于谱分析的东北三省经济周期研究

he research on economic fluctuation in the three northeast provinces of china

中文摘要英文摘要

采用增长周期法,搜集东北三省1978年到2005年的GDP数据,剔除国内生产总值指数长期趋势,生成人工序列,得到相应谱密度曲线;确定各省经济波动周期分量的长度与类型,在此基础上,分析各省经济周期波动的主要影响因素,并给出相应对策建议。

Growth cycle method is adopted in this paper. After the data of the three provinces in the northeast of china are collected, the long-term trend of GDPI is eliminated and the artificial sequence forms. Spectral density curve is gained, and the length, style of economic fluctuation cycle is confirmed, based on which main influence factors are analyzed and the countermeasure is put forward accordingly.

刘拓、梁静国、刘丙泉

经济学世界经济经济计划、经济管理

谱分析经济波动东北三省

spectral analysiseconomic fluctuationthe three northeast provinces of china

刘拓,梁静国,刘丙泉.基于谱分析的东北三省经济周期研究[EB/OL].(2007-11-27)[2025-08-02].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200711-526.点此复制

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