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中国与高收入国家、新兴经济体的双边贸易格局

Bilateral Trade Analysis of China and the High-Income Economy, Emerging Economy

中文摘要英文摘要

本文以中国与17个高收入国家及地区、10个新兴经济体的双边贸易为研究对象,使用2000-2014年中国与高收入国家、新兴经济体之间的贸易数据,运用扩展的引力模型,从比较优势、要素禀赋的角度,分析中国与高收入国家、新兴经济体之间的贸易强度、贸易结构差异形成的原因,重点分析科学技术水平、产业结构对二者的影响。结果表明,中国和贸易伙伴国的科学技术水平对中国的双边贸易强度及出口贸易结构的影响均为正,但对中国进口贸易结构为负,且没有通过显著性检验。且中国的科学技术水平对总贸易强度的影响大于贸易伙伴国的科学技术水平,且主要对于中国与新兴经济体的双边贸易影响更大。中国的产业结构正向影响中国与贸易伙伴国的进出口贸易强度,且对中国的出口贸易结构影响为负的,但均没有通过显著性检验。贸易伙伴国的产业结构负向影响中国与贸易伙伴国的进口贸易强度和出口贸易结构。另外,中国与贸易伙伴国的进出口总强度、进口强度受中国的产业结构影响更大。但对于进出口贸易结构而言,中国与贸易伙伴国的产业结构的影响没有存在差异性。

his paper uses the panel data of bilateral trade between China and 17 high-income economies, and 10 emerging economies covers the period of 2000-2014. Based on the theories of comparative advantage and factor endowment, this paper uses the extended gravity model to focus on analyzing the impact of science and technology and the industrial structure on the trade intensity and structure between China and high-income economies, emerging economies. We find that the science and technology of China and trading partner has a significant positive impact on bilateral trade intensity and export structure. As for the import structure, it has a negative impact. But it's not significant. Furthermore, China's science and technology has a greater impact on total trade intensity compared with the trading partners', especially on the bilateral trade with emerging economies. The influence of China's industrial structure on import and export intensity is positive. As to China's export trade structure, it is negative. But both of them have no significant impact. Trading partners' industrial structure has a negative impact on the import intensity and export structure. In addition, China's industrial structure has a greater influence on intensity of total trade and import. But for the import and export structure, the impact of China and trade partners' industrial structure is no difference.

刘德学、冯丽华

世界经济贸易经济

双边贸易贸易强度贸易结构科学技术水平产业结构

Bilateral Tradetrade intensitytrade structurescience and technologyindustrial structure

刘德学,冯丽华.中国与高收入国家、新兴经济体的双边贸易格局[EB/OL].(2016-05-16)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201605-444.点此复制

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