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时间序列分析在温度预测中的应用

ime Series Analysis And It's Application In Temperature Forecast

中文摘要英文摘要

通过介绍时间序列的相关知识,并将其应用到具体实例中,首先建立数据文件,画出数据原始图和自相关函数图,偏相关函数图,正泰概率图,并依据图形进行分析评价;然后用Box―Jenkins方法建模.进行模型参数估计和检验;最后做出预测。体现了时间序列的重要性。

hrough introducing the related knowledge of time series analysis and appling the knowledge in the concrete example .First build the data document and draw up the primitive picture of data, the self relevance picture of function,the partial relevance picture of function ,the picture of thailandz probability.Second analyse the valuation according to the picture.Third build a model using the method of Box―Jenkins, analyse the parameter in the model and check it.Finally make a forecast.Which embodes the significance of time series.

孟玲清、宋学娜、王晓雨

数学

时间序列分析,温度,Box―Jenkins方法建模,模型参数估计和检验

ime Series AnalysisTemperaturethe method of Box―Jenkinsanalyse the parameter in the model and check it

孟玲清,宋学娜,王晓雨.时间序列分析在温度预测中的应用[EB/OL].(2008-01-16)[2025-08-04].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200801-501.点此复制

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