经济政策不确定性对企业金融化的影响研究
he influence of economic policy uncertainty on the financial of enterprises
利用2007-2019年中国A股上市非金融企业年度数据,本文研究了经济政策不确定性对企业金融化行为的影响效果和可能存在的影响机制。研究发现,经济政策不确定性与企业金融化水平显著正相关,经济政策不确定性越高,金融资产规模在总资产中占比越高。异质性分析发现,经济政策不确定性显著促进了非国有企业和小规模企业的金融化水平上升,而对国有企业和大规模企业金融化水平的影响并不明显。随后的机制检验发现,收益率差和经营风险是经济政策不确定性对金融化产生影响的中介渠道。经济政策不确定上升导致企业收益率差值缩小,企业在逐利性动机的影响下降低实业投资意愿,提高金融资产投资倾向,金融化程度加深。经济政策不确定性上升也导致企业经营风险增加,使得企业基于预防性动机增持金融资产,以应对流动性风险。基于研究结论,本文进一步提出了提高实体经济效益、抑制金融泡沫、保持政策环境稳定性、缓解企业融资约束等政策建议。
Based on the annual data of Chinese A-share listed non-financial companies from 2007 to 2019, this paper studies the effects of economic policy uncertainty on the financialization behavior of enterprises and the possible influencing mechanism. It is found that economic policy uncertainty is significantly positively correlated with the level of financialization of enterprises. The higher the economic policy uncertainty, the higher the proportion of financial assets in total assets. The heterogeneity analysis shows that the economic policy uncertainty significantly promotes the increase of the financialization level of non-state-owned enterprises and small-scale enterprises, but has no obvious effect on the financialization level of state-owned enterprises and large-scale enterprises. The subsequent mechanism test finds that the yield spread and operational risk are the mediating channels of the impact of economic policy uncertainty on financialization. The increase of economic policy uncertainty leads to the narrowing of the yield gap of enterprises. Under the influence of profit-seeking motivation, enterprises reduce the willingness to invest in industries, increase the inclination to invest in financial assets, and deepen the degree of financialization. The rising uncertainty of economic policy also leads to the increase of business risks, which makes enterprises increase their holdings of financial assets based on precautionary motives to deal with liquidity risks. Based on the research conclusions, this paper further puts forward some policy suggestions, such as improving the benefits of real economy, restraining financial bubbles, maintaining the stability of policy environment, and easing the financing constraints of enterprises.
乔海曙、陶新星
财政、金融
金融学经济政策不确定性企业金融化金融资产配置
FinanceEconomic policy uncertaintyEnterprise financializationFinancial asset allocation
乔海曙,陶新星.经济政策不确定性对企业金融化的影响研究[EB/OL].(2021-05-11)[2025-08-23].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/202105-36.点此复制
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