传染病监测数据中高危区域和潜在传染邻域探测
etection of High-risk Zones and Potential Infected Neighbors from Infectious Disease Monitoring Data
高危传染区域和潜在传染邻域探测对降低传染病造成的损失有着重要的意义。但由于传染病爆发的不确定性和不清晰性,探测工作具有较大挑战性。此外,探测还必须具有高效性,否则最佳的防控时机可能被错过。为了解决这个问题,提出了通过捕捉传染病监测数据中显著变化,探测地理上的高危区域的方法。主要贡献包括:(1) 分析了传染病早期预警和爆发探测的挑战性; (2) 提出了探测监测样本数量显著变化的区域的方法; (3) 定义了传染扰动概念描述区域间传染的可能性; (4) 设计了衡量传染区域及其领域之间传染扰动的算法; (5) 通过在真实世界和合成数据上的实验验证了提出方法的有效性和高效性。
etecting the high-risk zones as well as potential infected geographical neighbor is necessary and important to reduce the loss caused by infectious disease. However, it is a challenging work, since the outbreak of infectious disease is uncertain and unclear. Moreover, the detection should be efficient otherwise the best control and prevention time may be missed. To deal with this problem, we propose a geography high-risk zones detection method by capturing the significant change in the infectious disease monitoring data. The main contribution of this paper includes: (1) Analyzing the challenges of the early warning and detection of infectious disease outbreak; (2) Proposing a method to detect the zone that the number of monitoring cases changes significantly; (3) Defining the infection perturbation to describe the infection probability between two zones; (4) Designing an algorithm to measure the infection perturbation of infectious disease between adjacent zones; (5) Performing extensive experiments on both real-world data and synthetic data to demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed methods.
苟驰、段磊、唐常杰、方宇浩、黄舒扬、赵星、谭碧滢
预防医学生物科学研究方法、生物科学研究技术计算技术、计算机技术
数据挖掘变化挖掘空间挖掘时间序列
ata MiningChange MiningSpatial MiningTime Series
苟驰,段磊,唐常杰,方宇浩,黄舒扬,赵星,谭碧滢.传染病监测数据中高危区域和潜在传染邻域探测[EB/OL].(2011-12-30)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201112-876.点此复制
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