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卖空约束下动量策略在牛市中的盈利性分析

he Profitability of Momentum Trading Strategy under Short-selling Constraint

中文摘要英文摘要

国外众多学者的实证结果表明,通过持有赢者组合多头和输者组合空头的动量套利策略可以获取显著的超额收益。我国A股市场具有卖空获利约束,基于此,本文针对性地考察了2005年股改以来两次牛市行情中单一的赢者组合及输者组合多头策略的盈利性特征,以此检验A股市场中是否存在有类似或相反于动量套利交易的盈利模式。实证结果显示,即使不考虑交易成本,两种多头策略也都很难有显著的好于样本总体的表现。

Many foreign scholars' empirical results show that strategies which buy winners and sell losers generate significant positive returns. China's A-share market has short-sale constraints, it is quite different from other mature stock market. So, this paper do some targeted empirical analysis by simply buying winners or losers to test that if any strategies which are similar or opposite with momentum trading exist in A-share market. Our study period is defined in the two bull market cycle since the split share structure reform of A-share market in 2005. The empirical results show that even without considering the transaction costs, the two long equity strategies are also difficult to have a significantly better performance than overall sample.

杨宏林

财政、金融

卖空约束动量交易策略赢者组合输者组合牛市

short-sale constraintsmomentom trading strategywinner portfolioloser portfoliobull market

杨宏林.卖空约束下动量策略在牛市中的盈利性分析[EB/OL].(2012-12-19)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201212-469.点此复制

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