基于可靠度的多因素下货车安全跟车距离研究
Reliability-based assessment of safety following distance under variable conditions
对于重型货车来说,合理的跟车距离是保证安全的重要因素。实际的跟车距离会受到除车辆本身动力之外的很多影响,如实时速度,制动系统延迟,道路横、纵坡等。货车风险预警系统能够给驾驶员提供实时的车辆状况反馈,并据此分析危险发生的可能性,提醒驾驶员做出调整。以往的跟车安全判断算法将影响跟车距离的要素假设为定值,并且只能输出安全、危险两种结果,无法作为智能驾驶辅助系统的判断算法。为解决上述问题,本文提出基于可靠度理论的安全跟车距离模型,采用可靠度的计算方法,该方法考虑了跟车模型中随机变量的不确定性,能够计算当前跟车状态下发生追尾事故的概率,帮助驾驶员判断危险程度。文章提出了一种基于距离的建议跟车距离计算模型,明确了其中的随机变量,采用两种可靠度计算方法对实际道路跟车数据进行验证和评价,为未来智能车辆的风险预警系统提供了一种可行的安全跟车距离判断算法。
Vehicle stoping-distance and recommended following distance are important factors for heavy-duty truck. In fact, the vehicle stopping-distance is affected by several factors beside vehicle dynamics:current speed, braking system retardation force, road slip and road grade. Truck onboard monitoring is to provide real-time feedback to the driver and analyze the possibility of danger to remind the drivers. The criteria of safe following distance in the past assumes that the influencing factors of following distance are constant and has only two results:safety and danger, which can not be identification algorithm of intelligent drive assist system and has low accuracy. To solve these problems mentioned above, the authors present a reliability-based assessment of safety following distance under variable conditions in which the uncertainty of varibles in the following model are considered. The method can caculate the possibility of rear-end, also has high accuracy and rational identification algorithm. A model of recommended following distance based on distance is present in this article. The articles find the appropriate varibles and analyze the data of road experiment by two different reliability calculation methods, finally get rational results and provide a feasible identification algorithm of safe following distance for threat assessment system.
陈丰、陈培焱、董博文、潘晓东
公路运输工程安全科学
安全跟车距离,可靠度,货车风险预警系统
safe following distancereliabilitytruck threat assessment system
陈丰,陈培焱,董博文,潘晓东.基于可靠度的多因素下货车安全跟车距离研究[EB/OL].(2016-11-03)[2025-08-21].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201611-50.点此复制
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