面板模型高阶矩估计的理论研究及其应用
heory study and empirical analysis on high order moment estimation in panel models
近年来,面板数据计量经济分析得到人们广泛的关注。由于误差项各个成分混合在一起,面板模型高阶矩的估计一直是个棘手的问题。本文基于近年来的最新研究方法,构造了偏度和峰度等高阶矩函数的估计、研究了其渐近正态性,并进一步提出了一些检验统计量分别检验误差和个体效应的未知分布的对称性和重尾性等分布特征。基于这些结论,可以使人们在建模时避免一些错误指定事件的发生,提高统计推断的可信度。 通过模拟实验研究了偏度和峰度的估计及检验的可行性。实际应用中,本文计算了我国高等教育劳动力和经济增长面板数据模型中误差项和个体效应的前四阶矩以及偏度和峰度,并检验了各自分布的对称性和重尾性,结果表明有充分理由拒绝误差分布的对称性假设,同时也发现了其分布的重尾性。
Recently, econometric analysis of panel data has received the great attention. It becomes very difficult to obtain respectively the high order moment of error component for panel data models due to the mixing properties of the errors and the effects. Based on the newest method on high order moment estimation of the errors and random effects in panel data models, we study the estimators and their asymptotic normalities of the skewness and kurtosis for the errors and the effects,which led to some tests for the characters of the distribution of the errors and the individual effects such as skewness and kurtosis. On the basis of these results, we can avoid the misspecification in modelling panel data and enhance the reliability of statistical inference. Moreover, we carry out a small simulation study for illustration. As a real example, we analyze the relationship between higher education labor and economic growth in China. Specifically, we compute the moments up to fourth of the errors and the effects, and then test their symmetric and heavy-tailed properties. The results show the asymmetrics and heavy-tailed properties.
吴鑑洪
财政、金融
数理统计学高阶矩估计偏度峰度面板模型
Mathematical StatisticsHigh order moment estimationSkewnessKurtosisPanel model
吴鑑洪.面板模型高阶矩估计的理论研究及其应用[EB/OL].(2012-08-14)[2025-08-24].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201208-102.点此复制
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