哈密市伊吾县峡沟水库集水区汛期降水特征
水库对区域经济发展和人民生活都具有重要作用,近年来新疆极端降水频发,对水库安全影响较大,目前针对新疆水库降水的研究较少,不能有效为水资源利用和水库调度等提供科学参考。本文利用伊吾国家气象站1961—2022年逐日降水资料和2009—2022年逐小时降水资料,分析新疆哈密市伊吾县峡沟水库集水区不同时间尺度和不同等级降水的长期变化特征,结果表明:(1)1961—2022年汛期,峡沟水库集水区平均降水量呈弱增加趋势,最大连续无降水日数呈显著增加趋势;总降水日数和最大连续降水日数均呈显著减少趋势,降水量增加,降水日数显著减少,可能导致该区域的降水强度进一步增强。(2)汛期降水以小雨为主,过去62 a,该区域小雨和中雨的日数呈减少趋势,大雨和暴雨的日数呈增加趋势;暴雨雨量占汛期总降水量的比例最高接近50.0%,暴雨雨量增加是峡沟水库集水区汛期降水量增加的主要原因。(3)降水量日变化呈现随降水等级加强,大值时段逐渐前移的特征,即小雨的大值时段出现在下午,中雨在中午,大雨在上午,暴雨在早晨。除暴雨外,其他等级降水频次的高值时段均在白天。各等级降水平均降水强度的日变化曲线均呈多峰型,且差异较大;小雨和中雨的累计降水频次与累计降水量的关系比降水强度更密切,大雨和暴雨的平均降水强度与累计降水量的关系则比累计降水频次更密切。
Reservoirs play a pivotal role in regional economic development and societal well-being. In recent years, Xinjiang has experienced frequent extreme precipitation events, posing significant challenges to reservoir safety. However, research on precipitation characteristics specific to Xinjiang's reservoirs remains limited, impeding scientific guidance for water resource utilization and reservoir management. Utilizing daily precipitation data from 1961 to 2022 and hourly precipitation data from 2009 to 2022 in the Xiagou Reservoir watershed of Yiwu County, Hami City, this study analyzed long-term variations in different time scales and precipitation levels. The findings indicate: (1) During the rainy season from 1961 to 2022, the average precipitation in the Xiagou Reservoir catchment area showed a weak increasing trend, and the number of days with no continuous precipitation showed a significant increasing trend. The total number of precipitation days and the maximum continuous precipitation days both show a significant decreasing trend. The increase in precipitation and the significant decrease in precipitation days may lead to further enhancement of precipitation intensity in the region. (2) The rainy season is mainly characterized by light rain, yet over the past 62 years, the number of light rain and moderate rain days has decreased while heavy rain and torrential rain days have increased. The highest proportion of rainstorm rainfall to the total rainfall in rainy season is close to 50.0%, and the increase of rainstorm rainfall is the main reason for the increase of rainfall in rainy season in Xiagou reservoir catchment area. (3) Daily precipitation displays a pattern of advancing high values as precipitation intensity strengthens. For instance, high values for light rain occur in the afternoon, moderate rain at midday, heavy rain in the morning, and torrential rain in the early morning. Except for torrential rain, high values for other precipitation levels are predominantly during the daytime. The daily variation curves for average precipitation intensity exhibit multiple peaks with significant differences. The relationship between cumulative precipitation frequency and cumulative precipitation amount is more closely associated with light and moderate rain than with precipitation intensity. Conversely, the relationship between average precipitation intensity and cumulative precipitation amount is more closely related to heavy and torrential rain than to cumulative precipitation frequency.
肖俊安、杨霞、李朋伦、张林梅、江远安
水利经济大气科学(气象学)灾害、灾害防治
不同时间尺度不同等级降水汛期峡沟水库
different time scalesdifferent gradesprecipitationrainy seasonXiagou reservoir
肖俊安,杨霞,李朋伦,张林梅,江远安.哈密市伊吾县峡沟水库集水区汛期降水特征[EB/OL].(2024-06-12)[2025-08-04].https://chinaxiv.org/abs/202406.00151.点此复制
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