基于博弈论视角的中韩自由贸易协定(FTA)的可行性研究
he Study On the Feasibility of the Sino-South Korea Free Trade Agreement (FTA)
随着经济全球化和区域经济一体化的迅速发展,作为世界经济最具活力的东亚地区对于区域内经济一体化进程加快的要求也逐渐成为该地区各国关注和研究的重点。本文在这样的背景之下,首先回顾了中韩FTA构想的提出和进展,并重点介绍了在两国领导人的共同努力下中国FTA的谈判工作正积极开展。然后本文从有利因素和不利因素这两个角度对中韩FTA建立的可行性进行了分析,有利因素会加快中韩FTA的进程能,但不利因素的存在也会阻碍两国最终签署FTA的协议。随后,本文从博弈论的角度实证分析了中韩之间为建立FTA所进行的讨价还价的博弈。从目前的情形看,这个博弈将是一个无限期的博弈,只有达到一定的条件,两国才会最终建立FTA.
With the rapid development of the economic globalization and regional economic integration , the world's most dynamic economies in East Asia for regional economic integration process to speed up the demand for the countries of the region gradually become a concern and the focus of the study. In this paper, firstly, we reviewed the concept of the proposed FTA between China and South Korea and the progress and focus on the leaders of the two countries joint efforts of China's FTA negotiations are underway in the above context. And then from the favorable factors and unfavorable factors of these two perspectives on the FTA between China and South Korea to establish the feasibility of an analysis of favorable factors will speed up the process of FTA between China and South Korea can, but the existence of adverse factors will hinder the two countries finally signed the FTA agreement . Subsequently, the paper from the perspective of game theory had empirical analysis to establish a FTA between China and South Korea carried out by the bargaining game. From the present circumstances, this game will be an indefinite game, only to certain conditions, the two countries will be the eventual establishment of FTA.
陈丰龙
贸易经济世界经济经济学
中国韩国自由贸易协定(FTA)博弈论
hinaSouthKorea FTAGame Theory
陈丰龙.基于博弈论视角的中韩自由贸易协定(FTA)的可行性研究[EB/OL].(2008-08-29)[2025-08-18].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200808-436.点此复制
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