人民币汇率变动对国内消费物价指数的传递效应研究
he Effect of RMB Exchange Rate Movements On the Domestic Consumer Price Index
本文利用VAR模型、协整检验和向量误差修正模型对人民币汇率变动对国内消费物价指数的传递效应进行了分析,估计结果表明(1)人民币有效汇率对国内消费价格指数传递是不完全的,并且存在一定的时滞;(2)人民币有效汇率的变动对国内消费物价指数的影响是显著的,且人民币汇率变动对我国消费价格指数的传递效应具有由短期波动到长期均衡调整的自我修正的正态机制。
his paper investigates the effect of RMB exchange rate movements on the domestic consumer price index by mean of Vector Autoregressive Model、Cointegration test and Vector Error Correction Model. The result is that (1) Exchange rate of RMB against the domestic consumer price index is not entirely passed, and there is a certain delay. (2)Changes in effective exchange rate of RMB against the impact of the domestic consumer price index is significant, and the RMB exchange rate changes on consumer price index of the transmission effect of a short-term fluctuations to long-run equilibrium by the adjustment of the normal self-correcting mechanism.
黄跃卫
财政、金融
人民币汇率消费物价指数传递效应误差修正模型
RMB nominal exchange rateconsumer price indexpass-thoughVector Error Correction Model
黄跃卫.人民币汇率变动对国内消费物价指数的传递效应研究[EB/OL].(2011-01-11)[2025-08-21].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201101-456.点此复制
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