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甘肃省耕地面积变化与人口、经济发展的相关关系研究

orrelation Analysis of Cultivated Land Change with Population Increasing and Economic Growth in Gansu Province

中文摘要英文摘要

本文基于甘肃省1997—2006年耕地十年变化的数据,研究了甘肃省经济发展过程中耕地面积变化的过程,并运用统计分析方法,对近十年来耕地变化与人口以及固定资产投资、人均GDP等经济指标进行相关分析。结果表明:耕地面积与人口呈相反趋势,与固定资产投资、人均GDP、城市化水平呈正“U”型三次曲线相关,即固定资产投资总额、人均GDP和城市化水平随着时间的推移增长到一定阶段后,它们的提高对耕地面积减少的影响呈递减趋势。

his article is base on 1997-2006 changes in the cultivated land of Gansu,research the process of the cultivated land changing in ten years.And by using statistical analysis methods, we analyzed the dynamic changing relation between the cultivated lands and the growth of population and economic development in Gansu province. The results show that cultivated land is opposited to population. However, the correlation between the area of cultivated land and theinvestment in the fixed assets,per capita GDP,urbanization is three cubed function.That is ,when with the increasing of population and the growth of economy, the tendency of the cultivated land decreasing presented a change of firstly decreasing,then in-creasing, and decreasing again.

付士波、王海鸿、韩娜娜、马琼

农业经济

甘肃省耕地面积经济发展人口增长

Gansu Provinceultivated LandEconomic developmentPopulation growth

付士波,王海鸿,韩娜娜,马琼.甘肃省耕地面积变化与人口、经济发展的相关关系研究[EB/OL].(2009-10-26)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200910-482.点此复制

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