国际贸易与FDI关系的格兰杰检验

In the past 30 years of the foreign trade development of China, the international trade volume of China kept a steadly and rapidly increasing speed. Through the further probe of the trade structure, it is found that the trade volume of foreign invested enterprises occupy more than 50% of that of China and the processing trade is nearly 60%. By the Granger Causality Test of the relationship of among FDI with the import&export of China, FDI with the foreign invested enterprises and FDI with processing trade, We find that the inflow of FDI can not promote both import and export of any trade, instead, the increase of import and export can affect the inflow of FDI. It is concluded that the industrial structure of international trade do not correspond with the industrial structure of the inflow of FDI.