灰色预测在铁路客流量中的应用
pplication of Gray Prediction in Railway Passenger Volume
本文介绍了灰色理论，建立了基于灰色预测理论的GM（1，1）模型，叙述了运用GM（1，1）模型进行预测的详细步骤。根据铁路现有的客流量，将铁路系统视为灰色系统，运用GM（1，1）模型对铁路客流量做出预测。实验证明，GM（1，1）模型在铁路客流量预测中具有较高的预测精度，能为铁路建设与管理决策提供科学依据。
Based on grey theory, this paper constructs GM (1,1) model and describes the detail steps of GM (1,1) model to predict the railway passenger volume. According to previous data, we apply GM (1,1) model in the prediction of railway passenger volume. Experiment result shows that, GM (1,1) model has high precision in prediction of railway passenger volume, so as to provide scientific basis for railway construction and administrative decision.
崔娜
铁路运输工程交通运输经济
灰色预测GM（1，1）模型铁路客流量
Gray Prediction GM (11) Model Railway Passenger Volume
崔娜.灰色预测在铁路客流量中的应用[EB/OL].(2008-09-28)[2025-08-04].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/200809-832.点此复制
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