广东省工业行业能源消耗影响因素的实证分析
n Empirical Analysis of Influential Factor of Guangdong's Energy Consumpution in Industrial Sector
改革开放以来,尤其是进入新世纪后,广东省作为改革开放的前沿阵地,经济发展举世瞩目。同时也要看到,随着经济尤其是工业经济的高速发展,广东省的能源消耗迅速增加,并由此带来了重大的的环境污染和生态破坏等问题。工业行业作为广东省的支柱产业,对经济社会发展起着决定性的作用,同时工业行业也是能源消费的主体。因此,深入了解工业内部各行业的能源利用效率和结构变化,对减少能源消费和降低能源强度具有重大意义。本文选取2001--2010年工业部门36个行业作为研究对象,把导致能源消耗总量变化的总效应分解为规模效应、技术效应和结构效应。分解结果表明,结构效应和技术效应对降低能源消耗具有正作用,规模效应对降低能源使用量具有负作用。这说明广东省工业行业总体能源利用技术在进步,而以调整经济结构为目的的产业升级调整措施已经初见成效。
Guangdong province,as the experimental field of reform and opening up policy,leads in the pace of economic development and economic total for a long time. Guangdong province is irreplaceable in china's economy. Guangdong's industry is very developed and it plays a very important role in Guangdong's economy ,in the respect of both pace and total of economy. As a developed Industrialized province,guangdong consumes large quantity of energy every year. So decomposing the index of energy consumption and analyzing the factors influencing energy consumption have a wonderful practical significance. This paper calculates the scale effects、technical effect and structural effect which contribute the change of energy consumption based on the panel data of Guangdong'36 industrial sectors during the period from 2001 to 2010. The result shows that Guangdong's technical effect and structural effects make a positive contribution to reduce energy consumption and scale effect's contribution is negative. In other words,guangdong's industrial energy efficiency is making progress and it's policy with the purpose of adjusting the economic structure are effective.
张后立、傅京燕
工业经济能源动力工业经济环境污染、环境污染防治
能源消耗LMDI乘法分解工业部门
energy consumptionLMDImultiplicative decompositionindustry
张后立,傅京燕.广东省工业行业能源消耗影响因素的实证分析[EB/OL].(2012-04-28)[2025-08-16].http://www.paper.edu.cn/releasepaper/content/201204-424.点此复制
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